Manel Kape is taking on Kyoji Horiguchi in UFC Vegas 119 as the event’s Main Card, and the fighters will both seek to win this one, securing career advancement, and potential performance bonuses.
Horiguchi is among the most well-seasoned MMA fighters whereas Kape is tipped as the favorite for the upcoming bout, owing not least to his younger age. However, we think the oddsmakers are wrong and that creates a unique value-betting opportunity to explore.
Kape vs Horiguchi Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Manel Kape | -160 |
| Kyoji Horiguchi | +140 |
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Kape vs Horiguchi, Date, Where to Watch
- Date: Saturday, June 20
- Time: 8 pm ET
- Place: Meta APEX, Las Vegas, United States
- Where to Watch: FOX, FOX One, Fubo
The Oddsmaker Got it Wrong – Horiguchi Is a Favorite Here
What immediately stands out about this fight is that Horiguchi is placed as the underdog at (+140) which we think is a brilliant opportunity for bettors to realize a value betting opportunity.
While Kape is not a fighter you should underestimate, there is so much going for Horiguchi right now. He has won five out of his last five fights, and while most fights have gone the distance, Horiguchi has come through every time, winning by either outsourcing their opponent through Unanimious Decision or Submission.
The fighter has a track record of 36 wins and 5 defeats, ending nearly half of his fights with TKO or KO. In the meantime, Kape is indeed an accomplished fighter himself.
He shares the physical characteristics of his Japanese opponent, but has clocked 7 losses over 29 total fights, which shows issues with his overall form and record.
He has won 4 out of his last 5 fights, riding a three-fight winning streak, and recently defeating B. Royval, A. Almabayev, and B. Silva. Now, this may be the key difference where the oddsmakers see Kape as the favorite.
He has fought slightly more accomplished fighters with Horiguchi taking three full rounds to finally defeat N. Zulu (0-2-0) through Unanimous Decision.
Interestingly, the public is also favoring Horiguchi to win this bout, and this could prove a very auspicious mispricing moment for bettors to benefit from by placing a wager on the Japanese fighter.
Pick: Horiguchi to Win (+140)