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2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage

Japan and Sweden is going to be one of the most exciting games to watch this week, with the Asian team set to win according to oddsmakers, but the difference is fairly small resulting in a nerve-biting game. 

What is more, both Japan and Sweden are sitting on 6 points both, and they will be fighting tooth and nail to progress out of the Group Stage and into the Round of 32. Only one team will be able to do so. 

Japan vs Sweden Odds

Moneyline Odds
Japan -112
Draw +255
Sweden +344



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Japan vs Sweden  Date, Where to Watch 

  • Date: Friday, June 25
  • Time: 7 pm ET
  • Place: Dallas Stadium
  • Where to Watch: FOX, FOX One, Fubo 

Japan Is Coming in as Favorite – No Surprises There

That Japan is now poised to take over Sweden is no surprise, but don’t bet on the Team of the Rising Sun to do away with the Europeans without any trouble – and then again, it may falter and admit a devastating defeat all the same. 

Japan has been one of the highest-scoring teams in the World Cup so far, with the country inflicting 4 goals on Tunisia and then pulling a draw against the Netherlands in a hard-fought 2-2 game

Among the team’s best-scoring players are Daichi Kamada, Junya Ito, Ayase Ueda, and Keito Nakamura, and they will continue to pose a constant threat to Sweden. 

Notably, Japan managed to hold well against the Netherlands, with the Europeans slightly outplaying the Asian team, but not by too much – Japan still had 40% possession of the ball, and shot 3 times on target, compared to the Netherlands’ 7. 

When it came to passing accuracy, Japan was deadlocked with the Netherlands at 88% and 89%, for each team respectively. 

Now, Sweden has not had quite the same pristine score in the World Cup so far, but the Scandinavian nation is a soccer powerhouse in its own right, which would make it difficult to ignore. 

Sweden also trampled Tunisia in a 5-1 rout, but it embarrassingly suffered a similar fate against the Dutch, who cruised through a victory with a 5-1 themselves, leaving Sweden in tatters and exposing serious weaknesses.

Now, this could have been a one-off thing and Sweden may have done soul-searching enough to prepare itself for Japan, which is arguably a slightly less aggressive team. 

Sweden’s defenses are being reworked for the final game of the group, with the Europeans betting heavily on bending without buckling against Japan while pinning their faiths on players such as Yasin Ayari, Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyokeres and Mattias Svanberg to take the fight to the opponents and score. 

We think Japan will have the upper hand here and has the best chances of winning, hands down. Yet, we would like to believe that Sweden has learnt from its defeat against the Netherlands, and will be bringing a far more formidable and well-oiled team. 

Pick: Sweden to Win (+344)

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